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Proceedings of the Sixteenth ACM Conference on Economics and Computation (EC '15). ACM, New York, NY, USA (2015)

Canary in the e-Commerce Coal Mine: Detecting and Predicting Poor Experiences Using Buyer-to-Seller Messages

Dimitriy Masterov, Uwe Mayer, Steve Tadelis

Reputation and feedback systems in online marketplaces are often biased, making it difficult to ascertain the quality of sellers. We use post-transaction, buyer-to-seller message traffic to detect signals of unsatisfactory transactions on eBay. We posit that a message sent after the item was paid for serves as a reliable indicator that the buyer may be unhappy with that purchase, particularly when the message included words associated with a negative experience. The fraction of a seller's message traffic that was negative predicts whether a buyer who transacts with this seller will stop purchasing on eBay, implying that platforms can use these messages as an additional signal of seller quality.

Research - Economics

Leveraging the power of data and economic engineering to understand and advance e-commerce.
In proceedings of the Workshop on Log-based Personalization (the 4th WSCD workshop) at WSDM 2014

A Large Scale Query Logs Analysis for Assessing Personalization Opportunities in E-commerce Sites

Neel Sundaresan, Zitao Liu

Personalization offers the promise of improving online search and shopping experience. In this work, we perform a large scale analysis on the sample of eBay query logs, which involves 9.24 billion session data spanning 12 months (08/2012-07/2013) and address the following topics

(1) What user information is useful for personalization;

(2) Importance of per-query personalization

(3) Importance of recency in query prediction.

In this paper, we study these problems and provide some preliminary conclusions

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